Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,312.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial macro trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering a SPY upside market after betting across multiple related markets, though this individual trade is modest in size.
- This bettor has a long record: 65% wins across 537 resolved trades and $51K in lifetime profit.
- They have traded 38 related events and put $16K across 4 markets in this SPY event, suggesting a broader upside thesis.
- They bought Yes at 87¢ while the market is now around 82¢, offering a slightly better entry than the trader got.
$1,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Cross-market SPY momentum
High composite score driven by a massive market-wide volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has only a breakeven track record.
- Money is flowing into this SPY target market at about 492x its historical pace.
- The bettor is active across related SPY markets, with about $17.8K positioned in the same event.
- Entry at 65¢ suggests a confident bet that SPY reaches this level in May.
$1,625 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial SPY trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying Yes across related SPY high markets, and this entry has already moved favorably amid strong price momentum.
- This bettor is up $57,087 lifetime across over $5.2M traded and has won 64% of 514 resolved bets.
- They have a long cross-market pattern: 33 events, 41 markets, and $328k in similar event trades.
- Bought Yes at 59¢ while the market has already moved to about 66¢, with Yes up 20 points today.
$1,634 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x5c32...d685 — Outcome 86353008, $40,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x1615...8f2b — Outcome 86353008, $2,352
- 0x9952...2edb — Outcome 86353008, $2,000
- 0x81a6...762e — Outcome 86353008, $2,000
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 86353008, $1,825
- 0x0681...f713 — Outcome 86353008, $1,500 (78% win rate)
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 86353008, $1,000
- 0xb5b6...1fda — Outcome 86353008, $943 (55% win rate)
- 0x7c40...3d64 — Outcome 86353008, $500
- 0x8aaf...7beb — Outcome 86353008, $500
Related Theses
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
SPY rises on May 27
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S&P opens lower May 19
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WTI rises on May 19
Covers 1 related market
