Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,312.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering a SPY upside market after betting across multiple related markets, though this individual trade is modest in size.

  • This bettor has a long record: 65% wins across 537 resolved trades and $51K in lifetime profit.
  • They have traded 38 related events and put $16K across 4 markets in this SPY event, suggesting a broader upside thesis.
  • They bought Yes at 87¢ while the market is now around 82¢, offering a slightly better entry than the trader got.

$1,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Cross-market SPY momentum

High composite score driven by a massive market-wide volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has only a breakeven track record.

  • Money is flowing into this SPY target market at about 492x its historical pace.
  • The bettor is active across related SPY markets, with about $17.8K positioned in the same event.
  • Entry at 65¢ suggests a confident bet that SPY reaches this level in May.

$1,625 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable serial SPY trader

Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying Yes across related SPY high markets, and this entry has already moved favorably amid strong price momentum.

  • This bettor is up $57,087 lifetime across over $5.2M traded and has won 64% of 514 resolved bets.
  • They have a long cross-market pattern: 33 events, 41 markets, and $328k in similar event trades.
  • Bought Yes at 59¢ while the market has already moved to about 66¢, with Yes up 20 points today.

$1,634 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c32...d685 Outcome 86353008, $40,000 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x1615...8f2b Outcome 86353008, $2,352
  3. 0x9952...2edb Outcome 86353008, $2,000
  4. 0x81a6...762e Outcome 86353008, $2,000
  5. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 86353008, $1,825
  6. 0x0681...f713 Outcome 86353008, $1,500 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 86353008, $1,000
  8. 0xb5b6...1fda Outcome 86353008, $943 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x7c40...3d64 Outcome 86353008, $500
  10. 0x8aaf...7beb Outcome 86353008, $500

Related Theses

Iran deal timing arbitrage

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SPY rises on May 27

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S&P opens lower May 19

Covers 1 related market

WTI rises on May 19

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

ResolvedWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?$4,312 tracked3 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

37d ago

$1,052 on Yes at 87¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

39d ago

$1,625 on Yes at 65¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

49d ago

$1,634 on Yes at 59¢

Related Theses