Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,610.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Yes position across related SPY level markets in a relatively thin, wide-spread book.
- This bettor has a long track record: 531 resolved bets, 65% wins, and about $54.6K profit.
- They are active across related markets, with $15.9K placed on 3 markets in this same event.
- Selling No at 87¢ equals buying Yes at 13¢, a contrarian bet in a wide-spread, thin market.
$1,379 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes around 14¢ on a thin SPY level market after placing $9.6k across related markets.
- This bettor has won 65% of 531 resolved bets and is up about $58k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record, with 47 markets traded across 37 events.
- Selling No is the same as buying Yes around 14¢, suggesting they see upside versus the current low odds.
$2,406 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial macro trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large sample and positive P&L is buying No on a SPY level market after a sharp weekly move lower.
- This bettor has a long track record: 509 resolved bets, 64% winners, and about $55.9K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $318K spread across 37 related markets in 31 events.
- Buying No at 64¢ goes against a market that has moved sharply toward Yes over the past week.
$1,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x81a6...762e — Outcome 40342684, $2,000
- 0x6f2a...de7d — Outcome 40342684, $1,250
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 40342684, $944
- 0xb424...3b71 — Outcome 40342684, $819
- 0x56ab...784e — Outcome 40342684, $537 (54% win rate)
- 0x8aaf...7beb — Outcome 40342684, $500
- 0xecb5...72d7 — Outcome 40342684, $448 (97% win rate)
- 0x12aa...ccd9 — Outcome 40342684, $403
- 0xccc0...32e9 — Outcome 41441028, $252 (0% win rate)
- 0x0548...c5bf — Outcome 40342684, $211
Related Theses
Iran deal timing arbitrage
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SPY rises on May 27
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S&P opens lower May 19
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WTI rises on May 19
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