Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?
This prediction market asks whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will print a regular-hours 1-minute candle low at or below $710 at any point in May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with the final resolution scheduled for June 1, 2026, based on published SPY price data. PolySpotter is tracking $1,825 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal, including activity from a profitable serial macro trader.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,825.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial macro trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large sample and positive P&L is buying No on a SPY level market after a sharp weekly move lower.
- This bettor has a long track record: 509 resolved bets, 64% winners, and about $55.9K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $318K spread across 37 related markets in 31 events.
- Buying No at 64¢ goes against a market that has moved sharply toward Yes over the past week.
$1,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x56ab...784e — Yes, $5,420 (21% win rate)
- 0x5226...8554 — No, $3,647 (76% win rate)
- 0x264c...baca — No, $3,177 (64% win rate)
- 0x9007...de6c — No, $3,116
- 0x7b37...222b — No, $1,815
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $1,500 (48% win rate)
- 0x902d...f3ab — Yes, $1,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xb2db...2f89 — Yes, $850
- 0xa0dd...1b9b — Yes, $807 (90% win rate)
- 0x6959...5575 — Yes, $500
Related Theses
SPY trades below 750
Covers 2 related markets
