Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will print a 1-minute candle low at or below $720 during regular U.S. trading hours by the final trading day of May 2026. It resolves after the May 2026 trading period, with the listed resolution timestamp on June 1, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,592 in smart money activity across 1 signal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,656.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro trader

Experienced cross-market trader with a long profitable record is buying No on a moderately thin SPY level market, though the edge is not as strong as top sharp-wallet alerts.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 513 resolved trades, 64% wins, and about $57k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $326k flagged across 33 events and 41 markets.
  • Buying No at 53¢ suggests they are fading the chance SPY touches this level in May.

$1,592 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable cross-market regular

Experienced cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying No on a quiet SPY level market, but the trade size and signals are moderate.

  • This bettor has 513 resolved trades, wins 64%, and is up about $57k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $324k across 39 markets in 32 events.
  • This is a moderate-conviction No buy at 52¢ in a relatively quiet market.

$1,064 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x264c...baca No, $6,690 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $2,511 (47% win rate)
  3. 0x9237...1b1e Yes, $2,020
  4. 0x46f1...701f Yes, $2,000 (36% win rate)
  5. 0x56ab...784e Yes, $1,491 (21% win rate)
  6. 0x38d8...ea7c No, $520 (45% win rate)
  7. 0xa540...0b43 No, $362 (41% win rate)
  8. 0x7b37...222b No, $301
  9. 0xb307...9c25 No, $250
  10. 0x4d82...a5e9 Yes, $192 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

SPY avoids 730 crash

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Covers 2 related markets

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SPY rallies to $750

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

18dWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?$2,656 tracked2 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Yes
47¢
No
54¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “No
55¢
40¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

52m ago

$1,592 on No at 53¢

53¢54¢1¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

2h ago

$1,064 on No at 52¢

52¢54¢2¢

Related Theses