Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
This prediction market asks whether S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will trade at a 1-minute candle low of $730 or below during regular market hours in May 2026. The market resolves after the final May 2026 trading session, with PolySpotter tracking live odds plus $1,447 in smart money activity from 1 signal so far.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,447.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on a SPY May 2026 level market, with the position already moving from 56¢ to about 66¢.
- This bettor has won 65% of 534 resolved bets and is up $48K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $374K placed across 37 related event groups.
- They bought No at 56¢, and the market has already moved toward them to about 66¢.
$1,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0xecb5...72d7 — Yes, $6,881
- 0x264c...baca — No, $3,665 (65% win rate)
- 0x7b37...222b — No, $2,189 (0% win rate)
- 0x10e1...aa05 — Yes, $1,683 (18% win rate)
- 0x7804...7025 — No, $1,503 (68% win rate)
- 0x7ec7...c43e — No, $1,398
- 0xe65b...271b — No, $1,106 (67% win rate)
- 0x41f3...844e — No, $1,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x7d2f...cd46 — No, $575
- 0x38d8...ea7c — No, $556 (45% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran deal lands in late May
Covers 4 related markets
S&P opens lower May 19
Covers 1 related market
SPY stays below 735
Covers 1 related market
SPY rallies above 750
Covers 4 related markets
WTI rises on May 19
Covers 1 related market
