Part of: Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
This prediction market asks whether Saudi Arabia will formally sign a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords framework by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,000 in smart money activity, with a recent alert showing a 91% winner buying NO. The market resolves based on official government statements confirming a public agreement tied to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,000.
Categories: Middle East, Politics, Gaza, Geopolitics, Abraham Accords, World, Israel
Notable Trades
91% winner buying NO
Surfaced despite a modest cross-market signal because this wallet has a strong 91% record over 86 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $26k lifetime.
- They bought No at 84¢ while the market is around 86¢, getting a slightly better entry than current odds.
- This is part of a $2k cross-market position on the same Abraham Accords event.
$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x2136...ee56 — No, $12,875 (91% win rate)
- 0x8593...4668 — Yes, $8,200
- 0x88e2...7489 — No, $6,252 (42% win rate)
- 0x94d6...9ab8 — No, $5,338
- 0x8705...8354 — No, $4,410 (56% win rate)
- 0x6992...6c1d — Yes, $4,388 (33% win rate)
- 0x1f99...85c8 — Yes, $3,955
- 0x2525...b919 — Yes, $3,655 (55% win rate)
- 0xc24f...adf8 — Yes, $2,000
- 0x104f...6b02 — Yes, $1,598
Related Theses
Kuwait joins, Saudi holds out
Covers 2 related markets
