Part of: Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,110.
Categories: Politics, Romania, Bolojat, Main Election, Global Elections, Elections, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Notable Trades
90% winner fading Yes
A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is fading Sorin Grindeanu by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 62¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 979 positions and is up $18.2K lifetime.
- They are betting against Grindeanu becoming Romania’s next prime minister, effectively buying No at 62¢.
- The market is political and liquid enough that a proven bettor’s directional fade is worth following.
$2,110 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $42,271
- 0xd6b6...342b — Yes, $25,930 (42% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — No, $8,843 (62% win rate)
- 0xbc60...af79 — No, $6,422 (67% win rate)
- 0x0f2b...665a — No, $4,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x5b50...cdfc — Yes, $2,991
- 0x5950...8c48 — Yes, $2,400 (33% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $2,151
- 0xe9c2...9303 — Yes, $2,100
- 0xe9fe...3da3 — Yes, $2,035
