Part of: Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,297.

Categories: Finance, Privates, Elon Musk, Tech, Big Tech, aerospace, AI, SpaxeX, SpaceX

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable 75% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought No in a thin market with a trade larger than the prior 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 40 related markets with $264k in serial cross-market positioning.
  • This No buy was bigger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin book.

$1,297 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0681...f713 Outcome 19965795, $45,974 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xefd9...14d6 Outcome 19965795, $2,005 (76% win rate)
  3. 0xe682...fdf5 Outcome 19965795, $972
  4. 0x9c79...fdf7 Outcome 19965795, $899
  5. 0x5efe...5f55 Outcome 19965795, $385
  6. 0x0d71...e481 Outcome 19965795, $375
  7. 0x5e83...3bb7 Outcome 19965795, $195 (40% win rate)
  8. 0x858b...4c07 Outcome 19965795, $150
  9. 0x7738...76a4 Outcome 19965795, $143
  10. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 19965795, $122

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SpaceX IPO under $2.2T

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Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

ResolvedWill SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?$1,297 tracked1 signalFinancePrivatesElon MuskTechBig TechaerospaceAISpaxeXSpaceX

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Notable Trades

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

72d ago

$1,297 on No at 81¢

Related Theses