Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
10 signals across 7 markets · $27,410 tracked · resolves Jul 1, 2026
This event tracks whether SpaceX’s private-market valuation reaches at least $1.35T by June 30, 2026, based on Nasdaq Private Market pricing. PolySpotter is monitoring the Polymarket action around the Yes/No outcome, including a recent smart-money alert pointing to a thin-market NO buyer.
Markets (7)
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?3 signals · $12,859 tracked
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?2 signals · $4,739 tracked
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?1 signal · $3,645 tracked
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?1 signal · $1,790 tracked
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?1 signal · $1,597 tracked
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?1 signal · $1,483 tracked
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?1 signal · $1,297 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 11-wallet funded cluster
Strong linked-wallet signal plus a large buy in a very thin SpaceX valuation market, though the entry has moved sharply against the trader.
$3,645Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 9.4 - 85% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $5.9k of No on a thin SpaceX valuation market, pushing/confirming odds up to 88%.
$5,866Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - Sharp wallet buying No
Sharp 85%-win wallet is buying No on a thin SpaceX valuation market and scaling a related bearish thesis across markets.
$4,229Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable 75% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought No in a thin market with a trade larger than the prior 24h volume.
$1,297Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.0 - 85% winner betting No
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has an 85% win rate over 100 resolved bets and is buying No on a related SpaceX valuation market set.
$2,764Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 3.0 - Thin-market NO buyer
A moderately experienced positive-P&L wallet made a large NO bet that dwarfs recent volume in a very thin SpaceX valuation market.
$1,597Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 2.6 - 85% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding $3.1k to No in a relatively quiet SpaceX valuation market.
$3,102Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 2.0 - Sharp bettor buying NO
Sharp wallet override: despite a weak low-activity signal, this bettor has an 85% record over 100 resolved markets and is buying No on a relatively thin long-dated SpaceX valuation market.
$1,637Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 1.0 - Sharp bettor buying No
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has an 83% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L.
$1,483Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 1.0 - 92% winner buying NO
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a strong 92% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L while buying No at 89¢.
$1,790Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc443d3…bbdb$17,598 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x8a4c78…532b$3,645 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
- 0xebaba6…cff5$1,790 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x936e3a…473f$1,597 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xcbfa13…1f40$1,483 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x6bab66…0fe5$1,297 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
FAQs
What is the SpaceX valuation prediction market about?
This Polymarket event asks whether SpaceX’s private-market valuation, as measured by Nasdaq Private Market’s NPM Price, will reach or exceed $1.35 trillion by June 30, 2026.
What are the current odds for SpaceX hitting a $1.35T valuation?
The live odds move with Polymarket trading activity. This hub is designed to track the market price for the Yes and No outcomes as traders update their view on SpaceX’s valuation path.
What is the smart money doing in this SpaceX market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,597 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal described as a thin-market NO buyer. That suggests a tracked trader bought against the $1.35T outcome in a market with limited liquidity.
When does this SpaceX valuation market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the June 30, 2026 cutoff, using relevant NPM Price data published by Nasdaq Private Market. The listed resolution time is July 1, 2026.