Part of: World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
This prediction market asks whether Spain will reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. It resolves “Yes” if Spain makes the final matchup, and “No” if Spain is eliminated or if the final is not declared by the stated deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $2,524 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including recent sharp-bettor alerts fading Spain.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,319.
Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is buying Spain Yes despite this being a liquid, long-dated market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $57K lifetime.
- They have traded 45 related sports/event markets with the same 83% win rate.
- Bought Spain Yes at 37¢ after the market rose 15 points this week.
$2,524 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is buying Spain Yes despite this being a liquid, long-dated market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $57K lifetime.
- They have traded 45 related sports/event markets with the same 83% win rate.
- Bought Spain Yes at 37¢ after the market rose 15 points this week.
$1,006 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
85% winner fading Spain
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is taking a $3.2k No position while also trading across five related World Cup markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $154k lifetime.
- They are expressing a broader World Cup thesis across 5 related markets with $15.9k deployed.
- Buying No at 73¢ suggests they see Spain missing the final as underpriced.
$1,604 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
85% winner fading Spain
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is taking a $3.2k No position while also trading across five related World Cup markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $154k lifetime.
- They are expressing a broader World Cup thesis across 5 related markets with $15.9k deployed.
- Buying No at 73¢ suggests they see Spain missing the final as underpriced.
$3,185 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x0121...f722 — Outcome 55701300, $10,893 (57% win rate)
- 0xbea7...b892 — Outcome 55701300, $10,000
- 0x1851...6b39 — Outcome 55701300, $8,294 (62% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 55701300, $8,030 (58% win rate)
- 0x0a61...2727 — Outcome 55701300, $8,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xfe94...8a3d — Outcome 55701300, $7,667 (41% win rate)
- 0xe8c2...3048 — Outcome 55701300, $5,609 (91% win rate)
- 0x2fbc...e4ed — Outcome 55701300, $5,514 (69% win rate)
- 0x33bc...37dc — Outcome 55701300, $5,000 (57% win rate)
- 0xe0a9...1652 — Outcome 55701300, $4,111 (90% win rate)
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