Part of: World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,319.
Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is buying Spain Yes despite this being a liquid, long-dated market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $57K lifetime.
- They have traded 45 related sports/event markets with the same 83% win rate.
- Bought Spain Yes at 37¢ after the market rose 15 points this week.
$2,524 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate is buying Spain Yes despite this being a liquid, long-dated market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $57K lifetime.
- They have traded 45 related sports/event markets with the same 83% win rate.
- Bought Spain Yes at 37¢ after the market rose 15 points this week.
$1,006 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
85% winner fading Spain
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is taking a $3.2k No position while also trading across five related World Cup markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $154k lifetime.
- They are expressing a broader World Cup thesis across 5 related markets with $15.9k deployed.
- Buying No at 73¢ suggests they see Spain missing the final as underpriced.
$1,604 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
85% winner fading Spain
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is taking a $3.2k No position while also trading across five related World Cup markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $154k lifetime.
- They are expressing a broader World Cup thesis across 5 related markets with $15.9k deployed.
- Buying No at 73¢ suggests they see Spain missing the final as underpriced.
$3,185 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x0121...f722 — Outcome 55701300, $10,893 (58% win rate)
- 0xbea7...b892 — Outcome 55701300, $10,000
- 0x1851...6b39 — Outcome 55701300, $8,294 (62% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 55701300, $8,030 (63% win rate)
- 0x0a61...2727 — Outcome 55701300, $8,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xfe94...8a3d — Outcome 55701300, $7,667 (41% win rate)
- 0xe8c2...3048 — Outcome 55701300, $5,609 (91% win rate)
- 0x2fbc...e4ed — Outcome 55701300, $5,514 (69% win rate)
- 0xe0a9...1652 — Outcome 55701300, $4,111 (90% win rate)
- 0xe574...832a — Outcome 55701300, $3,878 (13% win rate)
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