Starmer officially leaves office by…?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,700 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether Keir Starmer will formally cease to be UK Prime Minister by the specified deadline. PolySpotter is monitoring the market for smart-money activity, including a recent signal from an 88% serial cross-market winner with $3,700 tracked across the event.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x134a63…9e42$3,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What is the Starmer leaving office prediction market about?
The market asks whether Keir Starmer will officially cease to be Prime Minister of the UK by the stated date. A future resignation announcement alone is not enough; he must formally leave the office under the applicable UK procedures.
What are the current odds that Starmer leaves office by July 17?
The live odds are shown on the event page and update as traders buy and sell positions. PolySpotter tracks the market so you can compare price movement with smart-money activity.
What is the smart money doing on this Starmer market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,700 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal from an 88% serial cross-market winner. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it can highlight where proven traders are taking positions.
When does this Starmer market resolve?
The child market focuses on whether Starmer officially leaves office by July 17. The event’s listed resolution window runs through July 31, 2026, allowing time for the outcome to be confirmed.
Does a resignation announcement count as Starmer leaving office?
No. The rules state that an announcement of a future departure does not qualify unless Starmer has formally ceased to hold the office of Prime Minister by the deadline.