Part of: Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,100.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, Elections, Russia Election, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Proven bettor buying Yes
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an 86% resolved win rate, positive lifetime P&L, and made a meaningful Yes bet in a relatively quiet political market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $21k lifetime.
- They bought $2.6k of Yes, equal to more than half of the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 57¢ has already moved to 62¢, suggesting follow-through after the trade.
$2,610 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Proven bettor in thin market
Surface because a proven profitable wallet with an 85% record is making a fresh bet in a very thin political market.
- This bettor has won 85% of 220 resolved trades and is up $21k lifetime.
- They put $1.5k into a market with no 24h volume and only $5.8k liquidity.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they see “No” as materially more likely than the market’s current coin-flip odds.
$1,490 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 48202233, $64,493
- 0xfde6...7ed6 — Outcome 48202233, $56,075 (70% win rate)
- 0x2b9d...adc0 — Outcome 48202233, $11,279 (53% win rate)
- 0x6575...b198 — Outcome 48202233, $7,564 (65% win rate)
- 0x6139...6b7a — Outcome 48202233, $7,504 (71% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 48202233, $6,136 (82% win rate)
- 0x2200...0f2d — Outcome 48202233, $5,358 (32% win rate)
- 0x62fb...4d60 — Outcome 48202233, $4,500 (47% win rate)
- 0x01da...ea89 — Outcome 48202233, $2,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x944e...8c94 — Outcome 48202233, $2,000 (68% win rate)
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