Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,499.
Categories: US Election, Politics, Midterms, Elections, Senate midterms, Maine Midterm
Notable Trades
85% winner in funded cluster
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 15-wallet funded cluster bought a meaningful Yes position in a political market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.29M lifetime.
- A 15-wallet funded cluster is tied to this trade, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- The $6.5k buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume at a 73¢ entry.
$6,499 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x000d...758e — Yes, $12,188 (85% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $11,064
- 0x1e1f...c855 — No, $5,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x3a86...dea8 — No, $2,010
- 0x3f3b...1d77 — No, $1,700 (48% win rate)
- 0x03e7...9948 — Yes, $1,406 (71% win rate)
- 0xd578...9d00 — Yes, $1,343
- 0xc6cb...bbf0 — Yes, $1,014
- 0x6435...f42d — No, $1,000
- 0xfa32...bd9a — Yes, $900
