Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,499.

Categories: US Election, Politics, Midterms, Elections, Senate midterms, Maine Midterm

Notable Trades

85% winner in funded cluster

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 15-wallet funded cluster bought a meaningful Yes position in a political market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.29M lifetime.
  • A 15-wallet funded cluster is tied to this trade, suggesting coordinated conviction.
  • The $6.5k buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume at a 73¢ entry.

$6,499 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x000d...758e Yes, $12,188 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $11,064
  3. 0x1e1f...c855 No, $5,000 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x3a86...dea8 No, $2,010
  5. 0x3f3b...1d77 No, $1,700 (48% win rate)
  6. 0x03e7...9948 Yes, $1,406 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xd578...9d00 Yes, $1,343
  8. 0xc6cb...bbf0 Yes, $1,014
  9. 0x6435...f42d No, $1,000
  10. 0xfa32...bd9a Yes, $900

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Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

$6,499 tracked1 signalUS ElectionPoliticsMidtermsElectionsSenate midtermsMaine Midterm
Yes
74¢
No
27¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Price History — “Yes
78¢
73¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

2h ago

$6,499 on Yes at 73¢

73¢74¢1¢

Related Theses

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | PolySpotter