Maine Senate Election Winner
9 signals across 2 markets · $45,802 tracked · resolves Nov 3, 2026
The Maine Senate Election Winner market tracks who will win Maine’s 2026 U.S. Senate race, with separate outcomes for the Democratic and Republican nominees and potential additions for independents or third parties. PolySpotter has tracked $27,728 in smart money activity across this event, including clustered wallet signals and a serial politics bettor buying NO.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner with funded cluster
High-scoring alert from a very profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate, though the mixed Yes/No fills make the directional signal less clean than a pure long position.
$14,634Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 16.5 - 85% winner in 18-wallet cluster
Strong surface candidate: an 85% lifetime winner with $1.29M profit is buying No, alongside an 18-wallet funded cluster and heavy cross-market political activity.
$2,275Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 16.0 - 85% winner in funded cluster
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 15-wallet funded cluster bought a meaningful Yes position in a political market.
$6,499Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 82% win-rate politics sharp
Surfacing because this is a proven sharp political bettor with an 82% win rate, $721k lifetime profit, and a long serial cross-market track record buying Republicans in the Maine Senate market.
$2,295Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.0 - 85% win-rate political sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% win rate bought Yes on Democrats winning the Maine Senate race.
$3,297Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 85% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought Democrats Yes in the Maine Senate market at 71¢.
$2,872Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - Elite cross-market political bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Democratic Yes in the Maine Senate market.
$2,628Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - Perfect-record politics bettor
Sharp wallet with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record bought nearly $7k of Yes on Democrats winning Maine Senate at 74¢, already moving to 78¢.
$6,982Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.7 - Serial politics bettor buys NO
A high-volume serial political trader with a profitable record bought $4.3k of No in a quiet Maine Senate market, more than 2x the market’s 24h volume.
$4,320Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 2.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x000d25…758e$32,206 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x242df0…603a$6,982 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xa022ba…77f8$4,320 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$2,295 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the 2026 Maine Senate election?
This event tracks prediction market pricing for the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race, including whether the Democratic or Republican nominee wins. Odds can move as candidates enter the race, polls shift, fundraising changes, or smart money places new bets.
What smart money is betting on the Maine Senate race?
PolySpotter has identified $27,728 in tracked smart money activity across the event. Recent signals include multiple “85% winner” alerts tied to funded wallet clusters, plus a serial politics bettor buying NO on one of the outcomes.
Does this market include independent or third-party candidates?
The current event includes child markets for Democrats and Republicans. The rules state that independent or third-party candidates may be added later, and independents are not counted under Democrat or Republican options even if they caucus or align with a party.
When does the Maine Senate prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on the winner of the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election, including any runoffs if applicable. The listed resolution date is November 3, 2026, but final settlement depends on the confirmed election outcome.
Why do smart money clusters matter in this election market?
Wallet clusters can suggest coordinated or information-driven positioning, especially in lower-liquidity political markets. They do not guarantee the result, but they can help traders see whether experienced bettors are leaning toward or against certain outcomes.