Part of: Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
This prediction market asks whether the first newly added Claude model with “Mythos” in its official name will debut on the Arena.AI Coding Leaderboard with a score of at least 1530. It resolves based on the model’s score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date after it first appears on the leaderboard. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,719 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,719.
Categories: anthropic, AI, Claude Mythos, Debut, Tech, Claude, Coding
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 90¢ on a market already moving sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 68% of 1,434 resolved trades and is up about $86k lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader, active across 288 events and over $1.0M in volume.
- The market has moved strongly toward Yes, up 21 points in the past day, and they entered at 90¢.
$1,719 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 45321716, $6,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 45321716, $3,493
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 45321716, $2,045
- 0x1437...acfe — Outcome 45321716, $1,230
- 0xab49...34e6 — Outcome 45321716, $1,017
- 0x1682...26ca — Outcome 45321716, $665 (68% win rate)
- 0xa7fe...1f3e — Outcome 45321716, $400
- 0xb7e9...bdac — Outcome 45321716, $355 (82% win rate)
- 0x86cb...6c6d — Outcome 45321716, $350
- 0x14f5...31a3 — Outcome 45321716, $263
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