Part of: Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will make the next Claude Sonnet model available to the general public by July 17, 2026. It covers officially named Sonnet releases such as Claude Sonnet 4.7, Claude Sonnet 5.0, or Sonnet 5, while non-Sonnet models like Opus or Haiku do not qualify. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,020 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,020.
Categories: Claude 5, AI, Sonnet, Tech, anthropic
Notable Trades
Profitable serial forecaster
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a thin AI release market after a sharp 1-day move.
- This bettor has 1,499 resolved trades and is up about $80,877 lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.18M tracked across 495 markets.
- Bought Yes at 83¢ while the market has jumped 15 points in the past day.
$1,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 41624382, $2,448 (49% win rate)
- 0xaa81...aaf7 — Outcome 41624382, $2,000
- 0x126e...c360 — Outcome 41624382, $2,000
- 0x0578...e1fb — Outcome 41624382, $1,800
- 0xe3ae...217a — Outcome 41624382, $892
- 0x7423...c55f — Outcome 41624382, $624
- 0x3bc6...cba3 — Outcome 41624382, $385
- 0x03e1...e180 — Outcome 41624382, $282
- 0x61c4...fa64 — Outcome 41624382, $204
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 41624382, $147
Related Theses
Iran deal lands in July
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Claude 5 launches by April
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