Part of: Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,731.

Categories: Claude 5, AI, Sonnet, Tech, anthropic

Notable Trades

New whale buying YES

A 2-day-old wallet with 14 recent large-bet flags is building a Yes position and already entered well below the current market price.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already placed 14 flagged bets totaling $24.4K.
  • They bought Yes at 74¢, and the market has since moved to about 82¢.
  • This was a large share of recent activity, suggesting unusually strong conviction for a new account.

$1,731 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0578...e1fb Outcome 14267593, $2,000
  2. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 14267593, $913
  3. 0x27fa...d880 Outcome 14267593, $818
  4. 0x2220...5db4 Outcome 14267593, $600
  5. 0x7dc9...525e Outcome 14267593, $294
  6. 0x0777...4b7f Outcome 14267593, $273
  7. 0xfefb...8f26 Outcome 14267593, $263
  8. 0xc2ca...04f5 Outcome 14267593, $262
  9. 0xdc05...9a76 Outcome 14267593, $188
  10. 0xc1d1...c4b9 Outcome 14267593, $165

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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

ResolvedNext Claude Sonnet released by...?$1,731 tracked1 signalClaude 5AISonnetTechanthropic

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 4.7, Claude Sonnet 5.0, Sonnet 5, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

57d ago

$1,731 on Yes at 74¢

Related Theses