Part of: Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 4.7, Claude Sonnet 5.0, Sonnet 5, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,731.
Categories: Claude 5, AI, Sonnet, Tech, anthropic
Notable Trades
New whale buying YES
A 2-day-old wallet with 14 recent large-bet flags is building a Yes position and already entered well below the current market price.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already placed 14 flagged bets totaling $24.4K.
- They bought Yes at 74¢, and the market has since moved to about 82¢.
- This was a large share of recent activity, suggesting unusually strong conviction for a new account.
$1,731 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 45%
Top Holders
- 0x0578...e1fb — No, $2,000
- 0x27fa...d880 — No, $818
- 0x2220...5db4 — No, $600
- 0x7dc9...525e — No, $294
- 0x0777...4b7f — No, $273
- 0xfefb...8f26 — No, $263
- 0xdc05...9a76 — No, $188
- 0xc1d1...c4b9 — No, $165
- 0x5533...51ba — No, $105
- 0x3329...43a6 — No, $100
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