Part of: # of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

This prediction market tracks whether South Korea’s People Power Party will win exactly 4 National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. The elections are held alongside nationwide local elections, and re-elections count the same as by-elections for this market. PolySpotter is tracking $1,685 in smart money activity, including a recent quiet-market No signal.

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,685.

Categories: Politics, Global Elections, South Korea, people power party, Elections

Notable Trades

Quiet-market No bet

A trader placed a sizeable No bet in an extremely quiet South Korean by-election market one day before resolution, though the wallet’s historical edge is only modest.

  • This bet was about 29x the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing unusual conviction in a quiet market.
  • The market resolves very soon, making late positioning on a political outcome more meaningful.
  • The wallet is profitable overall, up about $9.6K across $866K traded, though not a high-win-rate sharp.

$1,685 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5676...b103 Yes, $4,713 (57% win rate)
  2. 0x64f3...34b6 No, $4,630 (48% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $2,002
  4. 0xcad4...1a4c Yes, $326
  5. 0xe4b0...8887 Yes, $310
  6. 0x287a...9ee2 Yes, $309
  7. 0x0ae9...5f74 Yes, $250
  8. 0xb6a2...4b66 Yes, $146
  9. 0xec82...6eaa Yes, $119
  10. 0x1e98...6345 Yes, $119

Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Resolved# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?$1,685 tracked1 signalPoliticsGlobal ElectionsSouth Koreapeople power partyElections
Yes
3¢
No
97¢

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.

Price History — “No
99¢
88¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

1d ago

$1,685 on No at 82¢

82¢97¢15¢