Cross-Market Thesis

“Abelardo de la Espriella wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,816 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xc7e5382% win rate

Total

$4,816

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,680 @ 73¢
  2. 2Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,137 @ 38¢
  3. 3Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $2,000 @ 51¢
Abelardo de la Espriella wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter