Cross-Market Thesis

Neither Cepeda nor Valencia wins

This trader is expressing a view that Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,542 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xc7e5381% win rate

Total

$2,542

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,405 @ 62¢
  2. 2Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,137 @ 38¢
Neither Cepeda nor Valencia wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter