Part of: Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

This prediction market tracks whether the United States will officially announce that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026. For a Yes resolution, most of Greenland must formally transfer from Danish control to US governance in some recognized legal form. Traders watching Trump, US foreign policy, and Denmark-Greenland relations use this market to gauge the odds of a highly unlikely but closely followed geopolitical outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $56,519.

Categories: Denmark, Foreign Policy, Greenland, Politics, Trump, Davos, Parent For Derivative

Notable Trades

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

A bettor with a 99% win rate made a $56.5k trade against the heavy favorite, creating a clear copy signal despite the weak standalone alert score.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades, with 531 wins and over $100k in profit.
  • They effectively bought Yes at 10¢ by selling No at 90¢, a $56.5k position against a 91% No market.
  • Entry at 10¢ implies they see meaningful upside in a long-shot market with almost no recent price movement.

$56,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6ae0...1472 No, $534,999
  2. 0xe522...2ad8 Yes, $511,539
  3. 0x6228...b2f7 Yes, $316,667
  4. 0xa3c6...0547 Yes, $283,690
  5. 0x060e...2384 Yes, $280,000
  6. 0x1057...9ea5 No, $205,030
  7. 0xb5f2...9432 Yes, $194,282
  8. 0xed10...d2e5 No, $189,990 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x8b4b...541b No, $147,816 (85% win rate)
  10. 0xc615...e982 Yes, $141,093 (40% win rate)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

231dWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$56,519 tracked1 signalDenmarkForeign PolicyGreenlandPoliticsTrumpDavosParent For Derivative
Yes
7¢
No
93¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Price History — “No
96¢
93¢
91¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

45d ago

$56,519 on Yes at 10¢

10¢7¢3¢