Part of: Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have a qualifying in-person meeting before December 31, 2026. It resolves based on the location of their next meeting, or to “No meeting by December 31” if no qualifying encounter occurs; the market has $20,649 in tracked smart money and one recorded signal.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,509.
Categories: Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Geopolitics, Politics, World, Trump Presidency, putin, Trump, Russia, Ukraine
Notable Trades
Three-wallet No cluster amid volume spike
Three wallets coordinated $20.6K of No buying during a 338x volume spike, though their existing positions and weak profitability make this a moderate-conviction signal.
- Three wallets bought No within two seconds, committing $20,649 at 69¢.
- The trades coincided with a 338x spike over historical volume and a 13.5-point weekly decline in the market price.
- All three wallets already held No, so this reflects coordinated adding rather than entirely fresh conviction; their combined track record is not strongly profitable.
$20,649 on No
Three-wallet Yes alignment
Three wallets aligned on Yes with $8,860 of buying-equivalent flow, including two additions at 35¢ and a No exit converted to Yes exposure, though their track records are weak.
- Three wallets concentrated $8,860 on the same Yes outcome around 35¢, a meaningful directional bet in this market.
- The flow helped push Yes up 2.5% over 24 hours and represented a sizable share of recent trading activity.
- Two wallets added to existing Yes positions, while the third exited No exposure; none has a strong proven profit record.
$8,860 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x28df...16de — Yes, $34,282 (80% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $30,255
- 0x0130...274c — No, $11,264 (97% win rate)
- 0xa550...74bf — No, $10,731 (67% win rate)
- 0x05cd...86a6 — No, $10,365 (100% win rate)
- 0x6ed7...0803 — No, $8,830 (82% win rate)
- 0x16c7...22cd — Yes, $6,695
- 0xd6dd...98ee — Yes, $5,174
- 0x5cd5...ac33 — Yes, $4,495 (94% win rate)
- 0x32d6...04f9 — No, $4,356 (60% win rate)
