Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between May 1, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,843.
Categories: Geopolitics, Politics, Trump
Notable Trades
3-wallet Yes push
Three wallets bought Yes in quick succession on a thin political market, moving odds sharply from the mid-60s to 90%.
- Three wallets all bought Yes, putting $5.2K into a market with only $5.4K liquidity.
- The buying wave moved Yes up about 23 points, from 65¢ on the first fill to 90¢ now.
- Two of the wallets have made over $100K lifetime on Polymarket, adding credibility to the move.
$5,175 on Yes
Profitable wallet chasing Yes breakout
A profitable wallet bought Yes on a thin political meeting market during a sharp move higher, pushing the outcome toward 90%.
- This bettor is up $114K lifetime and bought Yes at 84¢ as the market surged.
- Yes is up 84 percentage points in 24 hours, suggesting a major shift in expectations.
- The market is thin, with only $4K liquidity, so a $1.7K buy shows meaningful conviction.
$1,668 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xdc8d...84bc — Yes, $4,623 (87% win rate)
- 0x8030...7b74 — No, $2,153
- 0x641b...5433 — Yes, $2,113 (62% win rate)
- 0xf25c...732c — No, $1,050
- 0x48ec...8f36 — No, $950
- 0x3032...99e7 — No, $500 (88% win rate)
- 0xf24f...cfb7 — No, $467
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $400 (48% win rate)
- 0x1d8a...8730 — No, $200
- 0x5011...220e — No, $150 (59% win rate)
