Part of: Trump approval rating on April 3?

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $11,590.

Categories: Rewards 50, 4.5, 20, Approval, U.S. x Iran, Politics, approvals, Trump

Notable Trades

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?

Three wallets piled into the same side for $11.6k in a relatively low-liquidity approval market, including a very new wallet, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.

  • Three wallets all bet against this narrow approval range within minutes, totaling $11.6k.
  • The market only has about $4.0k of liquidity, so this cluster is large relative to available depth.
  • One of the wallets is less than 6 days old and still placed a $4.3k bet, which adds conviction.

$11,590 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 25966445, $9,510
  2. 0x3329...43a6 Outcome 36342337, $500
  3. 0xf571...d2dc Outcome 36342337, $393
  4. 0x0a6d...1d0a Outcome 36342337, $266
  5. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 36342337, $250
  6. 0x6590...3a26 Outcome 36342337, $238
  7. 0x0061...8fd6 Outcome 36342337, $200
  8. 0xe372...eb38 Outcome 36342337, $188
  9. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 36342337, $160
  10. 0x841c...b20d Outcome 36342337, $98

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?

ResolvedTrump approval rating on April 3?$11,590 tracked1 signalRewards 50, 4.5, 20ApprovalU.S. x IranPoliticsapprovalsTrump

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Notable Trades

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?

45d ago

$11,590 on No at 59¢