Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $11,590.
Notable Trades
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?
Three wallets piled into the same side for $11.6k in a relatively low-liquidity approval market, including a very new wallet, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.
- Three wallets all bet against this narrow approval range within minutes, totaling $11.6k.
- The market only has about $4.0k of liquidity, so this cluster is large relative to available depth.
- One of the wallets is less than 6 days old and still placed a $4.3k bet, which adds conviction.
$11,590 on No
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,098
- 0xb0ef...39b6 — Yes, $1,918
- 0xdd1b...ff31 — Yes, $690
- 0xc4b9...b47f — No, $535
- 0xcfc2...0b59 — Yes, $514
- 0x75d1...7a5f — Yes, $427
- 0xb69a...7c05 — No, $292
- 0xc54d...8be1 — No, $277
- 0xb523...4b8f — No, $262
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $200 (46% win rate)
