Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

This Polymarket market asks whether Donald Trump will say “Strait” or “Hormuz” during appearances at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14–15, 2026 Beijing Time. It resolves Yes if he says the listed term, including plural or possessive forms, and No otherwise. PolySpotter is tracking $1,745 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable wallet buying Yes.

Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,745.

Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet buying Yes

A 13-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is buying Yes near resolution despite the market dropping sharply.

  • This 13-day-old wallet is already up $16.2K on $70.5K invested.
  • The wallet has triggered repeat large-bet alerts 25 times, totaling $62.3K in flagged activity.
  • They are buying Yes at 40¢ after the market fell 28 points, implying a contrarian view near the event window.

$1,745 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xecaa...77a9 No, $11,364 (68% win rate)
  2. 0x3c59...1766 No, $4,683 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x9e92...6929 Yes, $4,385 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x5109...5e9c No, $3,791 (40% win rate)
  5. 0x2f33...89cf Yes, $3,426 (61% win rate)
  6. 0x4a2b...af20 No, $2,706 (38% win rate)
  7. 0xe5f0...dc1d Yes, $1,783 (23% win rate)
  8. 0x002d...2561 No, $1,758 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xe617...f251 Yes, $1,695 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x526e...7c43 Yes, $1,682

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

WTI spikes above 120

Covers 5 related markets

Trump discusses Iran and Hormuz

Covers 2 related markets

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

3hWhat will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? $1,745 tracked1 signalTrumpPoliticsChinaMentionsTrump-Xi Summit
Yes
33¢
No
68¢

Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Price History — “No
71¢
50¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

2h ago

$1,745 on Yes at 40¢

40¢33¢7¢

Related Theses