Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,936.
Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit
Notable Trades
Profitable trio buys No
Three wallets bought No together, including two highly profitable bettors and one with an 84% resolved win rate, on a near-term Trump/Xi wording market that has already moved in their favor.
- This cluster includes proven profitable bettors, including one up $269K lifetime and another winning 84% of resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought the same No outcome within minutes, totaling $4.7K in coordinated flow.
- Their entries at 45–51¢ are already ahead of the current 58¢ No price, suggesting the market followed their direction.
$4,701 on No
Repeat new wallet buying Yes
A 5-day-old repeat new-wallet bettor has placed multiple large flagged bets and is buying Yes despite a recent 19-point market rally.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling about $8.1K.
- They bought Yes at 73¢ on a market that has jumped 19 points in the last day.
- The bet is modest versus market volume, but the repeat new-wallet pattern suggests conviction.
$1,235 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x0cb1...dea6 — Yes, $15,012
- 0x789b...11f8 — Yes, $8,400
- 0x3c59...1766 — No, $6,663 (70% win rate)
- 0x0298...93c4 — No, $4,056
- 0x364d...9f8f — No, $3,788 (84% win rate)
- 0x1c14...0869 — No, $2,768 (60% win rate)
- 0x2c39...56dc — No, $2,737 (57% win rate)
- 0x22db...190f — No, $2,500
- 0xd8d5...8935 — No, $2,312 (75% win rate)
- 0xf797...0bf2 — No, $2,149
