Part of: Who will Trump talk to in April?

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,109.

Categories: Politics, Geopolitics, Trump

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in thin market

A proven 83% win-rate bettor just put $6.1k into a thin political market at 85¢, taking most of the day's volume as the contract was already breaking higher.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $21.8k lifetime
  • The $6.1k buy was roughly half of market liquidity and dwarfed the market's normal trading activity
  • They bought at 85¢ with the market up 25% in a day, showing conviction behind the move

$6,109 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x81a6...762e Outcome 81496885, $2,000
  2. 0xb242...eb89 Outcome 81496885, $1,050 (83% win rate)
  3. 0x3564...fa48 Outcome 81496885, $65
  4. 0x083f...a55f Outcome 81496885, $48
  5. 0x386f...db83 Outcome 81496885, $18
  6. 0x781c...4fd1 Outcome 58469954, $17
  7. 0x792f...068f Outcome 81496885, $14
  8. 0x8ba7...a1c6 Outcome 81496885, $14
  9. 0xf41f...19d2 Outcome 81496885, $7
  10. 0x9c9f...e0d4 Outcome 81496885, $5

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?

ResolvedWho will Trump talk to in April?$6,109 tracked1 signalPoliticsGeopoliticsTrump

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?

45d ago

$6,109 on Yes at 85¢

Related Theses