Part of: Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,083.
Categories: Geopolitics, Politics, Ukraine, Ukraine Map
Notable Trades
75% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet override: despite only a weak low-activity signal, this profitable 75% lifetime winner is buying No in a niche Ukraine territory market.
- This bettor has won 75% of 561 resolved trades and is up $18K lifetime.
- They put $1.8K on No in a relatively thin market with only $3.5K liquidity.
- Entry at 89¢ suggests they see a high-probability outcome with limited remaining uncertainty.
$1,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable geopolitics regular buys Yes
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Yes on a quiet Ukraine territory market, with modest price momentum supporting the move.
- This bettor has 739 resolved trades, wins 73% of them, and is up $271k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $8.8M in tracked activity across 107 events.
- Selling No at 87¢ is the same as buying Yes at 13¢, on a quiet market where Yes has been drifting up.
$1,283 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xe99b...0443 — Outcome 89314329, $4,456
- 0x38a8...865a — Outcome 89314329, $532
- 0x215a...254c — Outcome 89314329, $254
- 0xa99b...1211 — Outcome 89314329, $160
- 0xa664...f849 — Outcome 89314329, $120 (86% win rate)
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 89314329, $100
- 0xf057...a931 — Outcome 89314329, $81
- 0xfe41...9f23 — Outcome 89314329, $73
- 0xf0b0...8cab — Outcome 89314329, $60
- 0x3831...afed — Outcome 89314329, $53
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