Part of: Colorado Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?
This prediction market asks whether Victor Marx will win the 2026 Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary by a margin of less than 1 percentage point. The market resolves based on the final margin between the top two candidates in the June 30, 2026 Republican primary, using valid vote percentages. PolySpotter is tracking $1,093 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,093.
Categories: Elections, Colorado Primaries, Politics, colorado, USA Election, Primaries
Notable Trades
Profitable serial political bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a large relative bet on a very thin political market, and the price moved sharply in their direction.
- This bettor has a long record: 297 resolved bets, 63% wins, and $169k in lifetime profit.
- Their $1.1k Yes buy was nearly 69% of the market’s 24h volume in a very thin order book.
- The market has moved hard toward them, with Yes up 45 points today and now trading around 89¢.
$1,093 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x45b2...cbc1 — Outcome 11445598, $1,176 (15% win rate)
- 0x6f67...102c — Outcome 11445598, $701
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11445598, $519
- 0xfe41...9f23 — Outcome 11445598, $375
- 0xf333...ba41 — Outcome 11445598, $200
- 0x03e1...e180 — Outcome 11445598, $200
- 0x2d48...678c — Outcome 11445598, $148
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 11445598, $100
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Outcome 11445598, $96
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 11445598, $50
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