Part of: Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,350.
Categories: Global Elections, Elections, Politics, Russia Election, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Serial sharp bettor backs No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a concentrated $7.4k No position in a thin, wide-spread market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 291 resolved trades and earned $1.51M in profit while averaging 61¢ entries.
- They placed $7,442 on No at 81–82¢, representing over eight times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The market is thin and has an 8-point bid-ask spread, making this unusually large position a meaningful conviction signal.
$14,076 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp serial trader buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate and substantial edge made a concentrated $4,832 BUY No in a thin Russian election turnout market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 291 resolved trades and earned $1.51 million in P&L while buying at average odds of 61%.
- The $4,832 position is more than five times the flagged 24-hour market volume, showing strong conviction in No.
- The trader has placed $1.36 million across 96 events, providing a broad record beyond this single market.
$4,832 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Serial sharp bettor backs No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a concentrated $7.4k No position in a thin, wide-spread market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 291 resolved trades and earned $1.51M in profit while averaging 61¢ entries.
- They placed $7,442 on No at 81–82¢, representing over eight times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The market is thin and has an 8-point bid-ask spread, making this unusually large position a meaningful conviction signal.
$7,442 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xc23e...6499 — Yes, $68,166
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $55,071
- 0x23d8...0288 — No, $28,274 (82% win rate)
- 0xa6d9...fd2f — No, $16,126 (86% win rate)
- 0x215a...254c — Yes, $10,283
- 0x343f...6df2 — No, $10,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $7,766
- 0xfde6...7ed6 — Yes, $7,267 (70% win rate)
- 0x614d...1546 — No, $6,562 (68% win rate)
- 0xaaf7...2e27 — Yes, $6,332
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