Part of: Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,193.

Categories: Global Elections, Elections, Politics, Russia Election, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Serial sharp with 82% win rate

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate took a meaningful position on Yes, although the subsequent partial sale weakens the conviction signal.

This bettor wins 82% of 294 resolved trades and is up $1.51 million.
They traded four markets in this election event, reflecting a broader thesis rather than an isolated wager.
The Yes position was entered at 31¢, but a later partial sale at 21¢ suggests reduced conviction.

$4,943 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor doubles down on No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate placed a concentrated $11,687 bet on No while also positioning across four markets in the same election event.

This bettor wins 81% of 291 resolved trades and is up $1.51 million.
They put $11,687 into No at 90¢, representing the alert's clearest directional conviction.
The wallet has traded 98 events and four markets in this election event, with $1.38 million in tracked volume.

$19,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate made a large No bet that dwarfs recent market volume in a thin, wide-spread market.

This bettor wins 84% of trades across 170 resolved positions and is up $1.12 million.
The $1,230 No bet is roughly 30 times the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in this thin market.
The wallet has traded across 48 events and 64 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager.

$1,230 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%