What has to happen for this WTI $105 market to resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle for the active month of WTI crude oil futures records a final high price of at least $105 at any time between market creation and the final trading day in April 2026.

Does WTI have to close above $105 for this market to hit?

No. WTI only needs to reach $105 or higher on the high of a 1-minute candle. It does not need to close above that level or stay there for any extended period.

Which WTI contract month counts for resolution?

Resolution is based on the active month contract, which is the nearest listed WTI futures month under the exchange rollover rule described by the market. The active month can change during the life of the market as contracts roll.

When does this April 2026 oil prediction market resolve?

The market resolves by the end of April 2026, with the listed resolution date of April 30, 2026. If WTI never prints a qualifying high of $105 or more in the relevant period, the outcome is No.

Why are traders watching this WTI crude oil prediction market?

Traders use markets like this to gauge sentiment on whether oil prices could spike to key psychological levels. A $105 target often reflects expectations around supply shocks, geopolitical risk, demand strength, or broader commodity momentum.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

This prediction market asks whether the active month of WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle high of $105 or more at any point before the end of April 2026. It resolves Yes if that price is touched on the contract defined as the active month under the market rules; otherwise it resolves No. Current page activity also shows limited tracked smart money so far, with $1,298 monitored across 1 signal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,298.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

86% oil thesis bettor

A proven high-win-rate bettor is extending a broad cross-market oil thesis, buying No at 88¢ on six related markets with strong historical accuracy.

This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up $342k lifetime
They have put $29k across 6 related oil price markets, which points to a consistent macro view
They bought No at 88¢, backing the view that WTI is unlikely to spike to $105 this month

$1,298 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%