Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

47 smart money signals detected, totaling $129,213.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

WTI whale tail bet

A profitable high-volume wallet is making a broad cross-market WTI upside-tail bet, with $712k positioned across 16 related markets despite this specific entry being small and far out-of-the-money.

  • This wallet has bet about $712k across 16 related WTI markets, showing a broad oil-spike thesis.
  • The bettor is up $271k lifetime across $10.6M traded, despite winning only 45% of resolved bets.
  • This entry is at 1¢, making it a very high-upside tail bet if WTI unexpectedly trades at or above $85 in May.

$1,717 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

87% serial market winner

Sharp 87% lifetime winner with extensive cross-market history is re-entering a No position on a WTI oil price market with meaningful size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
  • They have traded 263 markets across 166 events, with $5.2M total activity.
  • They bought $7.7K of No at 89¢, signaling high confidence WTI will not hit this level in May.

$7,664 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

87% winner across oil markets

A proven 87% winner with $229k lifetime profit is adding a fresh No bet as part of a large cross-market oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229k lifetime.
  • They have traded 8 related markets in this oil event, with $276,946 positioned across them.
  • This is a fresh No re-entry after a prior closed position, suggesting renewed conviction at 87¢.

$4,812 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

87% winner oil thesis

Sharp 87% lifetime winner is re-entering No and has a large cross-market oil thesis across 8 related markets.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
  • They are active across 8 related oil markets with $272K positioned in this event.
  • This is a fresh No re-entry after previously closing a No position on the same market.

$1,445 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

87% winner re-enters No

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% long-term win rate is re-entering No across a broader WTI event thesis.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.2M deployed across 166 events.
  • This is part of a broader WTI thesis, with $273K traded across 8 related markets.

$2,339 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

87% serial cross-market bettor

A highly proven 87% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is effectively moving toward Yes by selling No on this oil market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
  • They have traded 8 related markets in this event, with $272K positioned across them.
  • Selling No at 51¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 49¢, after Yes has already moved up 23 points this week.

$1,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp oil cross-market bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is expressing a cross-market oil thesis by effectively buying Yes on WTI reaching the $85 threshold.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $523k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 5 related oil markets with $53k deployed and an 82% win rate.
  • This trade is effectively a Buy Yes at 49¢, meaning they are backing WTI to reach the $85 threshold.

$2,041 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

87% oil specialist positioning

Surfaced because this is a proven 87% win-rate trader with strong cross-market oil positioning, buying No at 74¢ as part of a large event-wide thesis.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $230K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 166 events and over $5.1M in tracked volume.
  • This is part of a broader 8-market oil thesis totaling about $273K across runs.

$1,887 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable oil cross-market trader

Profitable wallet with $177k lifetime P&L is actively trading a 12-market WTI thesis, though this specific add is small relative to market volume.

  • This bettor is up $177k lifetime and has traded over $4.0M across resolved markets.
  • They have positioned across 12 related WTI markets with $233k in activity, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
  • This is a fresh No buy at 71¢ after the market moved sharply toward Yes over the past day.

$1,027 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable WTI cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad WTI May upside thesis across 16 related markets, despite this individual trade being modest.

  • This wallet is up $271k lifetime and has traded over $10.5M on Polymarket.
  • They have put $712k across 16 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • WTI odds are already moving higher, with Yes up about 18 points over the past day.

$2,023 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 86034018, $112,190 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x131c...6816 Outcome 86034018, $30,000 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xcb7e...d590 Outcome 86034018, $29,355
  4. 0x7017...8118 Outcome 86034018, $16,667
  5. 0xcbef...9ab0 Outcome 86034018, $11,843 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x70bc...0c87 Outcome 86034018, $10,363 (76% win rate)
  7. 0xa5b5...0538 Outcome 86034018, $10,298
  8. 0xa543...13a1 Outcome 86034018, $10,255
  9. 0x5e12...2dff Outcome 86034018, $10,000
  10. 0x343f...d4dc Outcome 86034018, $10,000

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Iran will close airspace

Covers 3 related markets

WTI rallies but stays below $110

Covers 8 related markets

WTI stays between $90 and $105

Covers 5 related markets

Iran peace deal won’t happen

Covers 12 related markets

Iran closes airspace mid-May

Covers 8 related markets

Iran deal by mid-June

Covers 13 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$129,213 tracked47 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

16d ago

$1,717 on Yes at 1¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$7,664 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$4,812 on No at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$1,445 on No at 84¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$2,339 on No at 74¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$1,274 on Yes at 49¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$2,041 on Yes at 49¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$1,887 on No at 74¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$1,027 on No at 71¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$2,023 on Yes at 41¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$1,156 on Yes at 41¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$3,798 on Yes at 32¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

17d ago

$2,995 on No at 75¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

18d ago

$2,718 on Yes at 19¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

19d ago

$1,592 on Yes at 43¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

19d ago

$2,352 on Yes at 35¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

19d ago

$2,528 on Yes at 28¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$1,158 on Yes at 28¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$1,837 on No at 71¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$9,400 on Yes at 33¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$5,635 on No at 67¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$1,343 on No at 68¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$1,530 on No at 67¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

20d ago

$1,689 on No at 55¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

21d ago

$1,734 on Yes at 41¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

21d ago

$2,142 on Yes at 45¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

21d ago

$1,780 on No at 59¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

21d ago

$1,426 on Yes at 45¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

23d ago

$1,560 on Yes at 22¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

24d ago

$9,066 on Yes at 24¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

25d ago

$7,961 on No at 78¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

27d ago

$1,700 on No at 85¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

28d ago

$3,420 on Yes at 14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

28d ago

$2,936 on Yes at 14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

28d ago

$1,286 on No at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

28d ago

$2,240 on Yes at 14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

28d ago

$2,694 on No at 86¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

28d ago

$3,002 on Yes at 14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

32d ago

$4,564 on Yes at 34¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

32d ago

$1,080 on Yes at 36¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

34d ago

$1,320 on No at 66¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

35d ago

$1,049 on No at 52¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

40d ago

$1,950 on Yes at 64¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

41d ago

$4,497 on Yes at 41¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

42d ago

$2,059 on No at 50¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

44d ago

$2,664 on Yes at 43¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

45d ago

$1,125 on Yes at 45¢

Related Theses