Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

This prediction market asks whether the active month of WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle low at or below $90 at any time before the end of April 2026. It resolves to Yes if that price is touched during the market window, and No if WTI stays above $90 throughout. The market is tied to the active WTI futures contract and is currently drawing smart money interest from oil-focused traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,017.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil-event thesis trader

A historically profitable cross-market trader with 372 resolved bets bought No at 20¢ into a sharp volume and price move, suggesting a broader oil-event thesis rather than random flow.

  • This bettor has 372 resolved trades, wins 73% of the time, and is up $83k
  • They are betting across 7 related oil markets with $151.7k total, which points to a coordinated event thesis
  • Bought No at 20¢ after a 22.8x volume spike and a 32-point move, while the market still prices Yes at 80%

$1,017 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x32b4...8b21 Yes, $223,698 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x4bbe...2cf3 No, $63,540 (78% win rate)
  3. 0x45b6...676f No, $55,881 (0% win rate)
  4. 0xe94b...5abe No, $34,664 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xe734...4f0c Yes, $25,033 (38% win rate)
  6. 0x9c16...a981 No, $18,757
  7. 0x8214...ef72 No, $12,852
  8. 0xf350...f3ff Yes, $10,552 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x4714...c177 No, $9,869
  10. 0x7334...81da No, $9,557 (27% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

21d$1,017 tracked1 signalFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil
Yes
75¢
No
26¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “Yes
89¢
65¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

3h ago

$1,017 on No at 20¢

20¢26¢6¢

Related Theses

WTI Crude Oil $90 in April? Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter