Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

This Polymarket market asks whether the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures contract will record any 1-minute candle with a final Low price of $90 or higher during May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with final resolution scheduled for June 1, 2026, using prices published by Pyth exactly as reported. PolySpotter is tracking $1,455 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal, including an alert tied to a profitable oil thesis trader.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,455.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, buying Yes across 12 related WTI markets with over $107k positioned despite only a modest single-trade size here.

  • This bettor is up about $90.5k lifetime and has traded over $1.0M across resolved markets.
  • They are positioned across 12 related oil markets with $107k in the same event, suggesting a broader WTI thesis.
  • This buy adds fresh Yes exposure after closing a small No position, signaling a directional flip toward oil hitting this level.

$1,455 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x72a0...c059 Yes, $6,848 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xe734...4f0c Yes, $4,643 (41% win rate)
  3. 0xe2b1...7d2a No, $4,398 (45% win rate)
  4. 0xacbc...7cc3 No, $3,171 (23% win rate)
  5. 0x76f5...f507 No, $2,209
  6. 0x06ab...7457 Yes, $2,000
  7. 0xf115...ad6b No, $1,937
  8. 0xaea3...fe61 Yes, $1,500 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x48ee...008c No, $1,117 (38% win rate)
  10. 0xa540...0b43 Yes, $1,046 (41% win rate)

Related Theses

WTI stays rangebound in May

Covers 12 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

18dWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$1,455 tracked1 signalFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil
Yes
60¢
No
40¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “Yes
78¢
67¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

1h ago

$1,455 on Yes at 62¢

62¢60¢2¢

Related Theses