Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
43 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,796.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil ladder whale
A profitable high-volume wallet is making a fresh $10.7k Yes buy as part of a much larger WTI cross-market position, though the fill is now underwater.
- This wallet is up $228k lifetime and has traded over $10.3M, despite winning only 42% of resolved bets.
- They have deployed about $665k across 15 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 52.5% over the past week and another 9.5% in the last day.
$10,729 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable cross-market oil trader
Profitable wallet is expressing a broader WTI thesis across 6 related markets with $71K deployed, including a fresh $3K Buy No here.
- This bettor is up $54K lifetime and has traded 135 resolved markets.
- They have built a $71K thesis across 6 related WTI markets, not just a one-off bet.
- Entry at 22¢ implies a contrarian view against the market’s 79% Yes pricing.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable high-volume trader is making a contrarian No bet after positioning across 14 related oil markets, suggesting a broader WTI price thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- This wallet is up $228K lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 14 related WTI markets with $663K total exposure, suggesting a broad oil-price view.
- This trade is effectively buying No at 12¢ after Yes jumped 62 points this week.
$13,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, with $226k positioned across 12 related markets and strong recent price momentum backing the Yes side.
- This bettor is up $140k lifetime and has placed $226k across 12 related oil markets.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 57 percentage points over the past week.
- Entry at 82¢ suggests they are still adding despite Yes already trading as the heavy favorite.
$1,815 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 12 related markets with $226k positioned, though this individual add is modest.
- This bettor is up about $139k lifetime and has placed $226k across 12 related oil markets.
- They are buying Yes at 78¢ after a large weekly move, suggesting continued conviction in the WTI thesis.
- The market is liquid, so this looks more like broad positioning than a thin-market price push.
$1,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable WTI cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 14 related markets and is still buying Yes after a major price move.
- This wallet has put $624k across 14 related oil markets, suggesting a broad WTI thesis.
- The bettor is up $227k lifetime despite winning only 42% of resolved bets.
- Yes has jumped 50 points today, and this wallet is still buying at 87¢.
$5,242 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
84% winner cross-market oil bet
Sharp profitable wallet with an 84% win rate is extending a cross-market WTI thesis by effectively buying Yes around 75¢ after strong price momentum.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $446k lifetime.
- They have put $14.8k across 5 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 75¢ after the market moved up 38 points in the last day.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable oil whale thesis
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 14 related markets with $615k deployed, and this Yes entry is already moving in its favor.
- This bettor is up $229k lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
- They have put $615k across 14 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- This Yes buy entered at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢ after a 27-point jump today.
$1,408 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Sharp cross-market oil bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with 84% win rate and $435k lifetime P&L is building a cross-market WTI thesis, buying No at 62¢ despite only a moderate signal score.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $435k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 4 related WTI markets with $9.1k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ follows a sharp 1-day move against Yes odds.
$1,860 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp wallets buying No
Three wallets, including highly profitable bettors with 79% and 84% historical win rates, are jointly buying No on this WTI $90 market with a broader cross-market oil thesis.
- The largest bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $435K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same No side at 62¢ within six minutes, totaling $4.3K.
- This is part of a broader oil-market thesis across 4 related markets, with $9.1K positioned.
$4,251 on No
Top Holders
- 0xf396...ed0d — No, $66,613 (92% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — No, $21,055 (99% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — No, $16,509 (76% win rate)
- 0x7ec7...c43e — No, $12,581
- 0xa0dd...1b9b — No, $8,513 (83% win rate)
- 0x7253...89ed — No, $6,972
- 0x7d2f...cd46 — No, $6,128
- 0xb416...c7a1 — No, $5,365 (63% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — No, $5,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xe94b...5abe — No, $4,609 (73% win rate)
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WTI stays between $90 and $105
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