Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?, Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,096 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
    $1,096 @ 86¢
  2. 2Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
    $1,000 @ 23¢