“Brazil election won’t be close”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $4,980 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.