Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?, Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,225 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

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Sharp_0xbf4d276% win rate

Total

$4,225

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
    $1,337 @ 89¢
  2. 2Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
    $2,888 @ 84¢