Cross-Market Thesis

“GOP keeps seats, rejects exact map”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?, Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,160 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xe234966% win rate

Total

$5,160

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
    $3,100 @ 31¢
  2. 2Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
    $2,060 @ 12¢
GOP keeps seats, rejects exact map — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter