Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $11,950 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
    $9,600 @ 71¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $2,350 @ 74¢