Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œTrump insults May 12-13 onlyโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?, Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?, Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,828 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
    $1,466 @ 90ยข
  2. 2Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
    $2,672 @ 89ยข
  3. 3Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?
    $2,690 @ 86ยข
Trump insults May 12-13 only โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter