Cross-Market Thesis

Cepeda wins first round

This trader is expressing a view that Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,923 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x682db81% win rate

Total

$2,923

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,326 @ 78¢
  2. 2Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,597 @ 86¢
Cepeda wins first round — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter