Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?, , , and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $29,151 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
    $3,125 @ 22¢
  2. 20x184f4a32…
    $1,000 @ 0¢
  3. 30x74d513de…
    $4,000 @ 0¢
  4. 40x07d45de4…
    $3,000 @ 0¢
  5. 50x3c6bcb7d…
    $8,369 @ 0¢
  6. 60x773abaa5…
    $2,400 @ 0¢
  7. 7US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
    $1,380 @ 46¢
  8. 8US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
    $5,877 @ 70¢