Cross-Market Thesis

No Iran deal by May

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? are correlated outcomes, committing $16,899 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xbaa2b64% win rate

Total

$16,899

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $6,858 @ 85¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $5,170 @ 45¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $4,870 @ 90¢