Cross-Market Thesis

Abelardo wins Colombian presidency

This trader is expressing a view that Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,820 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x15dcf72% win rate

Total

$4,820

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $3,021 @ 83¢
  2. 2Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,799 @ 82¢
Abelardo wins Colombian presidency — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter