Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

This Polymarket tracks whether Abelardo de la Espriella will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election, including any required second round. The market resolves based on the candidate who ultimately wins, with the election scheduled for May 31, 2026 and a runoff, if needed, on June 21, 2026. If the result is still unknown by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "Other."

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,479.

Categories: Politics, Global Elections, Elections, World, World Elections, Colombia Election, Colombia

Notable Trades

87% win-rate election specialist

A highly profitable 87% win-rate trader is active across 16 related Colombian election markets, and this trade adds a fresh NO position near current market price in a major politics market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $350,768 lifetime
  • They have traded 16 markets tied to this same election event, suggesting a broader election thesis
  • This is a fresh NO buy at 74¢ in a liquid politics market, not simple profit-taking

$1,479 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $197,966
  2. 0x682d...31ab No, $100,065 (81% win rate)
  3. 0x21c0...4827 Yes, $21,719
  4. 0xcb25...5ab5 Yes, $17,232
  5. 0x38e5...95e7 Yes, $16,738 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x639d...4777 Yes, $16,373
  7. 0x296b...2cf2 Yes, $15,500
  8. 0x3e0a...b9cc Yes, $12,538 (72% win rate)
  9. 0x143d...5fd5 Yes, $12,269
  10. 0xd33c...2ab5 Yes, $11,535

Related Theses

Covers 14 related markets

Covers 16 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

59d$1,479 tracked1 signalPoliticsGlobal ElectionsElectionsWorldWorld ElectionsColombia ElectionColombia
Yes
27¢
No
74¢

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Price History — “No
84¢
78¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

2h ago

$1,479 on No at 74¢

74¢74¢

Related Theses

Abelardo de la Espriella 2026 Election Odds | PolySpotter