Cross-Market Thesis

“April meeting yes, June no”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,180 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x3b44872% win rate

Total

$6,180

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
    $4,900 @ 63¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
    $1,280 @ 61¢
April meeting yes, June no — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter