Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,961.

Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics, Peace Deal

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Proven profitable wallet with a 77% record is building a large cross-market US-Iran thesis and bought No on a thin diplomacy market.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $36.9K lifetime.
  • They have positioned across 13 related markets with about $122K total exposure, suggesting a broader US-Iran thesis.
  • This $2K No buy is large relative to the market’s $8.2K daily volume.

$1,961 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c6e...0617 No, $3,759 (58% win rate)
  2. 0xc040...beac Yes, $3,525 (44% win rate)
  3. 0xbf4d...33ed No, $3,206 (77% win rate)
  4. 0x5ee9...2673 Yes, $1,466 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xe738...df65 Yes, $1,000 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $440 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xac4a...bf1e Yes, $339
  8. 0x215a...254c Yes, $245
  9. 0x63f1...6272 No, $200
  10. 0x0652...9134 Yes, $125 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran deal unlikely soon

Covers 9 related markets

No US-Iran peace deal

Covers 10 related markets

No US-Iran meeting by June

Covers 13 related markets

Hormuz blockade stays in place

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Iran deal arrives in June

Covers 3 related markets

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

5dUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?$1,961 tracked1 signalPoliticsIran CeasefireIranVanceTrumpU.S. x IranGeopoliticsPeace Deal
Yes
34¢
No
66¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
78¢
68¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

2h ago

$1,961 on No at 69¢

69¢66¢3¢

Related Theses