Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,619.
Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
3-wallet geopolitical momentum
Three wallets piled into Yes within minutes as the market jumped 24 points in a high-volume geopolitical contract, signaling coordinated momentum despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets bought Yes at the same time for $8.9k total as the market jumped about 24 points in a day
- This is a geopolitics market where fast repricing can matter, and one buyer is already sitting on a big mark-to-market gain from 52¢ to 72¢
- One wallet flipped from a previously closed No position into Yes, which suggests a thesis change rather than routine profit-taking
$8,919 on Yes
93% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a 93% win rate bought Yes at 56¢ just before a fast move to 60%, making this a credible follow despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of their trades across 808 resolved markets and is up $56.8k
- They bought Yes at 56¢ before the market quickly jumped to 60% in about 2 minutes
- Entry at 56¢ suggests they saw value before a major news-driven repricing
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable geopolitical grinder
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 72% win rate and $222k profit is buying No in a moderately thin geopolitics market, making this a credible thesis worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,148 resolved trades and is up $222k lifetime.
- They trade across 311 markets and 136 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought No at 68¢ in a market with only about $5.7k recent volume, showing clear conviction in a thinner market.
$1,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x8454...331a — Outcome 74705943, $50,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x9e83...9394 — Outcome 74705943, $40,000
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 74705943, $31,713 (69% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 74705943, $14,703 (84% win rate)
- 0xbef5...206d — Outcome 74705943, $12,972
- 0x7494...680d — Outcome 74705943, $7,510 (92% win rate)
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 74705943, $5,506 (40% win rate)
- 0x9ca1...13b5 — Outcome 74705943, $2,325 (58% win rate)
- 0x1851...ae47 — Outcome 74705943, $2,271
- 0x7ea7...79ac — Outcome 74705943, $1,142
