Cross-Market Thesis

Cepeda and Espriella both lose

This trader is expressing a view that Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $10,236 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x23d8186% win rate

Total

$10,236

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $8,703 @ 78¢
  2. 2Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,533 @ 88¢
Cepeda and Espriella both lose — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter