Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal won’t happen by 2026”

This trader is expressing a view that US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?, US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?, US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $268,156 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x0c0e263% win rate

Total

$268,156

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
    $178,574 @ 90¢
  2. 2US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
    $57,510 @ 81¢
  3. 3US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
    $8,683 @ 87¢
  4. 4US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
    $21,750 @ 87¢
  5. 5US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
    $1,639 @ 85¢
Iran deal won’t happen by 2026 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter