Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?, Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,755 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xfc2f488% win rate

Total

$5,755

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
    $3,750 @ 75¢
  2. 2Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
    $2,005 @ 67¢